Solutions · Evacuation Triggers
Evacuation trigger monitoring, checked every day
The hardest evacuation decisions are the gradual ones. Airspace narrows, advisories tighten, a border closes for a day and reopens. Each signal on its own can be explained away, and then the options have closed.
Evacuation criteria only protect people if someone checks them daily and records the result. That is what CHARIS does.
From written criteria to a daily verdict
You pick evacuation triggers per country from the LEAVE catalogue, covering conditions such as airspace and border status, official advisories and security deterioration, or start from the recommended profile and adjust. Each trigger carries a defined threshold.
Every day CHARIS assesses each active trigger against current cited evidence and records BREACHED or NOT BREACHED. A country's LEAVE risk is the percentage of its evaluated triggers currently breached, classified into four bands: below 20% is STABLE, 20 to 40% ELEVATED, 40 to 70% HIGH, and 70% or above EXTREME. The recommendation is stated plainly at each level.
Triggers CHARIS could not evaluate are excluded from that calculation rather than counted as clear, and a country with too little evidence to score is reported as not scored. An absence of evidence never reads as calm.
Why the evidence trail matters
An evacuation is expensive, disruptive and hard to reverse. So is the decision not to evacuate. Either way you will be asked afterwards what you knew and when. Every CHARIS assessment preserves the evidence considered and the reasoning per trigger, so the decision record exists at the moment you need it rather than being reconstructed weeks later.
Because the thresholds are yours, the recommendation reflects your organisation's risk tolerance rather than a generic country score.
Honest limits
CHARIS informs the evacuation decision. It does not make it. Assessments are indicative and must be verified against live conditions. A daily cycle can lag a fast-moving incident. State-change alerts run alongside the scheduled assessment to cover that. Pair trigger monitoring with your own ground truth.
Watch your evacuation criteria, not the news cycle
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Prefer to talk it through? Email risk@sicurogroup.com.